5 replies to this topic

[daj0sephz]

anyone knows/made any tests?

[Jun]

awkward moment when title says everything and post is useless.

Try to save your message for your post next time. I dont know if anyone has done that test, but you can suggest it i guess..

Edited by Junjun, 28 January 2012 - 12:22 AM.

[Strategist]

http://www.neocodex...._1#entry1519903

do a search of the forum..... it comes up with the most SURPRISING results.....

and its never worth it to gamble on the scratchcards, UNLESS you have a shitton of NP to waste. There is a very slim possibility you MAY get a Mskull from the haunted woods cards.

[Jun]

Strategist, on 28 January 2012 - 12:27 AM, said:

http://www.neocodex...._1#entry1519903

do a search of the forum..... it comes up with the most SURPRISING results.....

and its never worth it to gamble on the scratchcards, UNLESS you have a shitton of NP to waste. There is a very slim possibility you MAY get a Mskull from the haunted woods cards.

I love the fact every haunted woods card has a chance to give out mskull, eventhough its .000001% or even less than that. Like i said there isnt a big test done with cards i guess, but stay away from them if you ask me, unless you are going for a jackpot.

Edited by Junjun, 28 January 2012 - 12:35 AM.

[Yung]

I have a ton of data I have been compiling. Be patient I'll be posting my results in just 4 more days

[kingofaces]

For levels it's worth it depending on how much you would pay at the training school.

Terror Trove: Total cards scratched = 979

Chance of winning:

• Level 3.68%
• 5,000 np 3.68%
• 10,000 np 4.19%
• Snowball 4.29%
• Plushie 3.58%

Average cost / card = 850
Cost / level = 6764

Festering Fortune: Total cards scratched = 166

Chance of winning:

• Level 5.42%
• 5,000 3.61%
• 10,000 9.04%
• Snowballs 4.22%

Average cost / card = 4022
Cost / level = 54179


Also my running tab of the chances of buying specific Deserted Fairground SC's. After 500+ tries still no Pustrav or Rotting Riches, hence the less than percentage.

Total cards bought = 514

• Crypt of Chance Scratchcard 65.76%
• Undead Jackpot of Doom Scratchcard 27.04%
• Festering Fortune Scratchcard 4.47%
• Mutating Millions Scratchcard 2.72%
• Pustravaganza Scratchcard < 0.19%
• Rotting Riches Scratchcard <0.19%

Selling Crypt of Chance through Festering Fortunes from this will get you about to breaking even. It's the Mutating Millions that will give you decent profit. I've only netted about 200k from the amounts listed above, but it's still worth it to always buy cards for the off chance you get a Pustrav or Rotting Riches since you aren't losing np in the long run even if you don't get either of them.

It also is theoretically worth it to gamble for the jackpots. You just need to determine the chances of winning the jackpot for a certain card. Then just take the cost of the card / percent chance of winning = minimum jackpot to scratch at. Scratching at jackpots below that value isn't worth it, and you'll profit in the long run at jackpots above it. We're dealing with averages here, so you need to scratch a large number of cards for this logic to work. If you're going to scratch just one or two cards and call it quits you can't use statistics to help you. You're just dealing with mostly pure luck at that point.

Edited by kingofaces, 28 January 2012 - 08:17 AM.