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InsertUsername

Member Since 12 Mar 2017
Offline Last Active Oct 08 2017 01:16 PM

#2007037 Nostalgia thread!

Posted by InsertUsername on 08 May 2017 - 08:43 PM

Did someone says nostalgia and screenshots?

 

*Inhale* CHAO FUCKING GARDEN!!!

(Just began to play SA2B again, on a 12 years old save file)

Spoiler




#2006229 Show me your OCs!

Posted by InsertUsername on 28 April 2017 - 07:26 AM

I do love furries :3

 

I made a pokemon OC, which I still use its second evolution as username (including neopets, so I won't disclose its name in public). I used it's first evolution, MissingEon, for a now dead Eeveelution forum (RIP Eonden)

giphy.gif

 

It's background come from a pseudo-theory I made when I was younger that MissingNo was in fact a fourth Eeveelution that were scraped in development.

 

I will post a picture of the second evolution when I'll have access to my files.

 

My second OC is a Chao that I used in a old RP on Chao Island. I even made a chao in SA2B to represent her.

Her bio:

Name:Alice
Gender:Female
Age:16
Alignment/Type/Type:Dark/Run/Run+Fly (Very intelligent but very unlucky)
Color/Tone:MTN
Personality:Discreet,like to nose about,cheater.Love science,hacking (lot of programmation skill),reading,play video game and cook (mostly with drugs,sometime to herself,but mostly to trick other chao).
Bio:Child of a rich and selfish family,she hurt other chao,psychologically more than physically,to unburden herself of her parent that want her to take control of the movie company (the one who created chao in space ;) ).Trained to hack (the showbusiness isn't as clear that it seem), she already hack herself some grade to have a better general one. (like 85 to 90,like i said she's very discreet).She have 1600 in run and 1000 in fly.
Lost Soul/Different?(Bully):Bully
9pyaEvD.jpg



#2003481 Grarrl Keno Expected Value and Odds: A guide to not be fooled

Posted by InsertUsername on 21 March 2017 - 12:50 AM

Keno is usually a game where you choose 1 to 20 number between 1 and 80, then 20 number is chosen by the machine/casino. The payoff is determined by the amount of number you chose. The odds of keno can be a little confusing, due to its sheer amount of number you can choose and the fact that it is a draw without replacement. Keno has been dissected by some mathematicians and you can easily find some odds calculator for it on the net. If you want to know, the odds to win at Keno are around 75%. Scratch that. The source is dubious at best.

 

  0d82870f86dfa34ce69d39fae36b8be2.png

Grarrl Keno has however a little trick under its sleeve

 

If you already played it, you know that there's only 10 draw. This makes all the difference since it horribly change the odds. So, how do we calculate the odds now, you may ask? Well, I found a calculator (I could have done it by hand, but you know, if there is already a program that makes it for you, might as well use it.) that makes calculation for any kind of draw without replacement. You can find the calculator here, if you don't mind French :x

 

af5d4dc809c3e2e5c8591cfaa1acb974.png

A godsend tools for our purpose

 

So now that we have the odds for each possible outcome, we can actually calculate the expected outcome. I tripped over my choice of word in my other thread about Coconut Shy, but I'll explain what exactly is the expected outcome for non-mathematics academic. The expected outcome, without going too deep in the subject, is a way to find the mean of a numeric outcome if the draw is infinite. The most notorious example is the expected value of a six sided dice, which is 3.5. That value means that if we roll the dice infinitely, the mean of the numeric outcome is 3.5.

 

0fabceb1b021f6272df0dd716dd432be.png

Example of a six sided dice. As you can see, the formula is the sum of all 

the outcome multiplied by their respective probability .

(Source of the picture: Wikipedia)

 

Expected value is heavily used in gambling and insurance industry. It is used in gambling to know how much the host win or lose per customer, if there is enough customer to be considered infinite (casino usually fit this description). We can use it to determine how much neopoint in average you lose or win per game while playing Grarrl Keno (spoiler alert: you don't win). Of course we need a really big number of play for this to be a good average, and no one will play that much, right? Unless... You're going for the avatar.

 

642373917c0db29bba3daa402e8239b9.png

Oh, sweet sweet avie

 

Therefore, I made an Excel sheets (not gonna do it by hands for some simple repeated arithmetic steps) that calculate the expected value for every amount of number chosen by the player, so I can laugh at those who chose 10 number and refreshed (or not, you probably make 1000 times the amount you loss, but oh well, I love statistics).

 

db03c5272e17955c58fff19ebd81f31d.png

Example of an Excel sheets that I made

 

There's my results (the value are rounded to two significant numbers):

2 numbers chosen has an expected value of -0.71

3 numbers chosen has an expected value of -0.85

4 numbers chosen has an expected value of -0.83

5 numbers chosen has an expected value of -0.86

6 numbers chosen has an expected value of -0.94

7 numbers chosen has an expected value of -0.94 (slightly lower than 6 number chosen)

8 numbers chosen has an expected value of -0.97

9 numbers chosen has an expected value of -0.71 (very slightly higher than 2 number chosen)

10 numbers chosen has an expected value of -0.75

 

What does all that means?

Well, it means I did a little error while calculating (whoops). I was gonna say that choosing 2 numbers is the only way to go, but I forgot to reduce all the outcome by one, and not just those under 2 neopoints. It gave me a result of -0.47, which would have been awesome, but yeah.

For those who doesn't understand, I got you. What those number means is actually a percentage of the neopoint you will gain (since they are negative, you have a negative gain, so a loss). So, if you choose 10 number, you will lose 75% of the total neopoints you will gamble. You will lose around 71% of the total amount you gamble at Grarrl Keno if you choose nine or two numbers. Nine numbers is slightly better than two, but it is statistically negligible. It's kinda nice to know that if you choose 8 number, you will lose 97% of your total gambled neopoints though. Totally a fair game, am I right?

 

TL;DR

Grarrl Keno is one of the worst gambling game on Neopets. You have way more chance at Bagatelle, which is inherently rigged. Congratulation TNT for making this huge NP sinks.

 

Every Excel sheets I made are in the zipped file I uploaded right below. Feel free to point out possible error on my part, I will correct them.

Attached Files




#2003239 How does the value of items is decided [Item Database/Jellyneo]

Posted by InsertUsername on 18 March 2017 - 01:34 AM

Try to price the items in your shop with Neon-Ap with 10~15 Swiz search, but don't save them. It will update the database, without screwing your already priced items.




#2003147 cute/active games like neopets?

Posted by InsertUsername on 16 March 2017 - 04:15 PM

I used to play Flight Rising.

I love the breeding system and you can actually make money by submitting your own art design.




#2003088 AB lists (Share your up to date lists!)

Posted by InsertUsername on 15 March 2017 - 04:47 PM

Thank you ^_^

I stopped at 350k because I'm new to ABing, so I want to stay low for a while  :ninja:

 

Edit:

I made an updated list for Food Items.

Shop 1

Spoiler

 

Beware, multiple items had a space after their name. I tried to go over all of them to delete these spaces, but I don't know if Abrosia count spaces. If you are copy-pasting from Jellyneo like me, it looks like a security measure against Abrosia *Put tinfoil hat*

There was one item that had two spaces after its name and multiple other with one space, seemingly at a random occurrence.




#2003037 AB lists (Share your up to date lists!)

Posted by InsertUsername on 15 March 2017 - 04:39 AM

Since going through your list was more a hassle than doing it from scratch, I made my own plushie list:

 

Shop ID 98 (20k - 350k according to jellyneo)

 

Magical Electric Lupe Plushie
Magical Red Chomby Plushie
Neggbreaker Plushie
Starry Uni Plushie
Darigan Flotsam Plushie
Drakonid Plushie
Electric Evil Fuzzle 
Halloween Grundo Plushie
Illusen Plushie
Lutari Tonu Plushie 
Maraquan Techo Plushie
Masila Plushie
Mutant Usul Plushie
Rainbow Wocky Plushie
King Roo Plushie
Magical Starry Lupe Plushie
Velm Plushie
Rainbow JubJub Plushie
Blue Draik Plushie
Agate Dervish Plushie
Desert Aisha Plushie
Desert Elephante Plushie
Grey Lupe Neoquest Plushie
Grey Negg Plushie 
Grey Wocky Plushie
Halloween Moehog Plushie
Judge Hog Plushie
Magical Red Buzz Plushie
Magical Red Pteri Plushie
Moehawk Plushie
Rohane Plushie
Silver Blumaroo Plushie
Striped Evil Fuzzle
Tylix Plushie
Valin Plushie
Desert Krawk Plushie
Plushie Poogle Plushie
Halloween Poogle Plushie
Advent Calendar Aisha Plushie
Black Bearog Plushie
Christmas Bruce Plushie
Darigan Krawk Plushie
Darigan Lupe Plushie
Eye Candy Plushie
Faerie Meerca Plushie
Magical Green Kyrii Plushie
Stone Golem Neoquest Plushie
Young Sophie Plushie
Halloween Rainbow Fountain Faerie Plushie
Royal Boy Bruce Plushie
Baby Uni Plushie
Faerie Kougra Plushie
Magical Pirate Krawk Plushie
Bonju Plushie
Faerie Shoyru Plushie
Nabile Plushie
Un-Valentines Skeith Plushie
Robo Grarrl Plushie
Ilere Plushie
Faerie Xweetok Plushie
Magical Yellow Kyrii Plushie
Purple Paint Blob Plushie
Spirit of Slumber Plushie
White Meerca Plushie
Birthday Celebration Kacheek Plushie
Darigan Gelert Plushie
Sleeping Imiya Plushie
Yellow Draik Plushie
Magical Blue Kyrii Plushie
Pink Draik Plushie
Yellow Kau Plushie
Electric Fuzzle
Ghost Ixi Plushie
Monstrous Moach Plushie
Green Draik Plushie
Happiness Faerie Plushie
Kanrik Plushie
Mutant Kiko Plushie
Enraged Mayor Thumburt Plushie
Official Brain Tree Plushie
Giant Moehog Plushie
Handcrafted Fyora Plushie
Evil Twin Yellow Chia Plushie
Dr. Sloth Heart Plushie
Baby Techo Plushie
Mutant Krawk Plushie
Kentari Plushie
Magma Tonu Plushie
Asparagus Chia Plushie
Fire JubJub Plushie
Jhudora Plushie
Pirate Moehog Plushie 
Scoach Plushie
Shumi Plushie 
Galgarroth Plushie
Grimtooth Plushie
Rainbow Fuzzle
Branch Plushie
Purple Kau Plushie
Jake Plushie
Baby Xweetok Plushie
Bagatelle Plushie
Halloween Mynci Plushie
Handmade Commander Flint Plushie
Baby Peophin Plushie
Scamander Plushie
Spider Grundo Plushie
Yellow Blumaroo Plushie
Cloud Kacheek Plushie
Angel Chia Plushie
Rock Golem Neoquest Plushie
Blue Blumaroo Plushie
Silver Jetsam Plushie 
Strawberry JubJub Plushie
Blue Moehog Plushie
Lost Desert Kougra Plushie
Angry Vira Plushie
Prissy Miss Kacheek Plushie
Royal Girl Kyrii Plushie
Valentines Kadoatie Plushie
Nightmare Babaa plushie
Pink Brain Tree Plushie
Mipsy Plushie
Blue Jetsam Plushie
Iron Golem Neoquest Plushie
Plushie Wocky Plushie
Lenny Smuggler Plushie
Zombie Slorg Plushie
Capn Threelegs Plushie
Grey Chomby Plushie
Poogle Merchant Plushie
Knitted Chia Plushie
Isca Plushie
Rainbow Ruki Plushie
Underwater Chef Plushie
Valentines Faellie Plushie
Pirate Poogle Plushie
Juppie Beast Plushie
Royal Boy Usul Plushie
Striped Fuzzle
Hagan Plushie
Bruce Smuggler Plushie
The Masked Intruder Plushie
Starry Koi Plushie
White Skeith Plushie
Galem Plushie
Handcrafted Tomos Plushie
Purple Vandagyre Plushie
Orange Gelert Plushie
Royal Boy Kougra Plushie
Minitheus Plushie
Valentines Kacheek Plushie
Mumbo Pango Plushie
Red Marbleman Plushie
Valentines Cybunny Plushie
Angel Kiko Plushie
Birthday Celebration Jubjub Plushie
Christmas JubJub Plushie
Silver Kougra Plushie
Ominous Stone Plushie
Darigan Uni Plushie
Rainbow Scorchio Plushie
Mutant Techo Plushie
Desert Wocky Plushie
Ghost Draik Plushie
Golden Bori Plushie
Red Jetsam Plushie
Handmade Professor Lambert Plushie
Evil Twin Green Quiggle Plushie
Handmade Master Thief Kanrik Plushie
Ripped Valentines Chia Plushie
Halloween Nimmo Plushie
New Years Techo Plushie
Terrified Harris Plushie
Negg Faerie Plushie
Plains Lupe Neoquest Plushie
Blue Brain Tree Plushie
Valentines Hasee Plushie
Zombom Plushie
Deviled Steak Plushie
Electric Ixi Plushie
Handmade Rasala the Bright Plushie
Kougrachio Plushie
Virtupets Altador Cup Team Yooyu Plushie
Woodland Uni Plushie
Shadow Tonu Plushie
Yellow Brain Tree Plushie
Sand Golem Neoquest Plushie
Green Jetsam Plushie
Valentines Ona Plushie
Cherub Acara Plushie
Valentines Grundo Plushie
Plushie Quiggle Plushie
Camouflage Wocky Plushie
Shadow Usul Plushie
Handmade Lanie & Lillie Plushie Set
Rainbow Negg Plushie
Shadow Yurble Plushie
Snow Faerie Plushie
Faerie Slorg Plushie
Robot Kau Plushie
Lutari Grundo Plushie
Mutant Kougra Plushie
Handmade Duchess Plushie
Plushie Acara Plushie
Green Brain Tree Plushie
Kacheek Shepherd Plushie
Green Frogarott Plushie
Royal Boy Kyrii Plushie
Starry Evil Fuzzle
Ghost Ogrin Plushie
Spotted Lupe Plushie
Mutant Evil Fuzzle
Royal Girl Kougra Plushie
Darigan Lenny Plushie
Purple Mynci Plushie
Ramtor the Advisor Plushie
Grizzly Bearog Plushie
Gold Meerca Plushie
Blue Peophin Squishy Plushie
Draphly Plushie
Rufus Plushie
Slushie Slinger Plushie 
Starry Yurble Plushie
Valentine Meerca Plushie
Yellow Jetsam Plushie