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Race to Riches Scratchcard!


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#1 StrikeFreedom

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Posted 18 October 2011 - 10:25 AM

So I'm new to the forum. Anyway, starting yesterday, I wanted to see whether scratching the maximum alotted 5 Race to Riches scratchcards (found in Happy Valley) is worth it, and by how much. This is my data so far:

Race to Riches Scratchcard
Number bought: 10
Cost per card: 605
Won 10k: 1
Won 5k: 1
Won 2.5k: 2
Expectation: 2000
Net per card: 1395
Net total: 13950
Net per day: 6975

I did not include plushies or snowballs because honestly, who has time to sell them for 5NP.
I put the cost of the cards at 605 as you can buy one for 600 from the Kiosk and then get 4 more from Shop Wizard anywhere from slightly under 600 to 610 NP easily.
As you can see, so far, the "daily" of 5 max per day is good for a whole 7k NP profit. This is a small sample size but the results are encouraging. Over a long period of time (1 month+) we will be able to see what the expectation and profit comes out to.

Cheers!

Edited by jzalcatel, 18 October 2011 - 10:27 AM.


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    #2 Scot

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    Posted 18 October 2011 - 10:27 AM

    You're suppose to actually do it first, then post the results

    #3 StrikeFreedom

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    Posted 18 October 2011 - 10:28 AM

    The format was messed up, I tried to copy paste from Excel. I semi-fixed it now although it's not as nice a table as I want. I'll update it as I get more data.

    #4 Junsu

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    Posted 18 October 2011 - 01:28 PM

    I think youre supposed to finish the whole test before posting your results because in reality, who cares?
    Everyone really cares about the results.

    #5 kittycat

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    Posted 18 October 2011 - 01:30 PM

    Leave jzalcatel alone!!!



    #6 James

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    Posted 18 October 2011 - 01:50 PM

    Very interesting, looking forward to seeing this progress. :p

    #7 repap

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    Posted 18 October 2011 - 06:21 PM

    Man, when did they implement that stupid 5 card limit? I remember these things were perpetually at 900 np, now they are the same price as from the kiosk. (or lower in the case of haunted scratchcards)

    #8 Guest_jcrgirl_*

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    Posted 18 October 2011 - 07:43 PM

    So I'm new to the forum. Anyway, starting yesterday, I wanted to see whether scratching the maximum alotted 5 Race to Riches scratchcards (found in Happy Valley) is worth it, and by how much. This is my data so far:

    Race to Riches Scratchcard
    Number bought: 10
    Cost per card: 605
    Won 10k: 1
    Won 5k: 1
    Won 2.5k: 2
    Expectation: 2000
    Net per card: 1395
    Net total: 13950
    Net per day: 6975

    I did not include plushies or snowballs because honestly, who has time to sell them for 5NP.
    I put the cost of the cards at 605 as you can buy one for 600 from the Kiosk and then get 4 more from Shop Wizard anywhere from slightly under 600 to 610 NP easily.
    As you can see, so far, the "daily" of 5 max per day is good for a whole 7k NP profit. This is a small sample size but the results are encouraging. Over a long period of time (1 month+) we will be able to see what the expectation and profit comes out to.

    Cheers!


    I thought this was interesting so here are my results for today:
    Number bought: 5
    Cost per card: 600
    Won 10k: 0
    Won 5k: 1
    Won 2.5k: 0
    Spent: 3000NP
    Profit: +2000NP

    #9 gummis

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    Posted 19 October 2011 - 05:31 AM

    Cost per card: 600 + 4(604)
    Won 10k: 0
    Won 5k: 0
    Won 2.5k: 0
    Spent: 3016 NP
    Profit: -3016 NP :x3:

    #10 willy101

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    Posted 19 October 2011 - 10:58 AM

    YesterdayNumber bought: 5<br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252); ">Cost per card: 600<br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252); ">Won 10k: 0<br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252); ">Won 5k: 1<br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252); ">Won 2.5k: 0<br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252); ">Spent: 3000NP<br style="color: rgb(28, 40, 55); font-size: 13px; line-height: 19px; background-color: rgb(250, 251, 252); ">Profit: +2000NP

    Edited by willy101, 19 October 2011 - 10:59 AM.


    #11 unworthy

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    Posted 19 October 2011 - 06:27 PM

    I tried doing this for about a week and a bit before. I think I managed to get 2 weeks worth of info and I only found out that it was in fact, not profitable. Once i get home i'll see if i can find my old excel sheet and post the results.

    One thing that I did that might be different then yours is that I always picked the 6 circles on the left, to standardize the test. I didn't want luck of picking to be a factor. It would be neat if we had a bunch of people do different selections over and over so that we could find out if certain circles give you a better chance of winning something.

    #12 Neoquest

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    Posted 19 October 2011 - 07:00 PM

    I would suggest doing this project with Haunted Woods cards, that way there's a possibility you'd get an Mskull.

    #13 GreenScissors

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    Posted 19 October 2011 - 07:10 PM

    I would suggest doing this project with Haunted Woods cards, that way there's a possibility you'd get an Mskull.


    Wouldn't that be extremely expensive?

    #14 Junsu

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    Posted 20 October 2011 - 12:54 AM

    Wouldn't that be extremely expensive?



    Because rewards are better

    #15 Graz

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    Posted 20 October 2011 - 02:04 AM

    I would suggest doing this project with Haunted Woods cards, that way there's a possibility you'd get an Mskull.


    Rotting riches give a chance at 10k unlike the cheapest haunted woods and only rotting riches or pustravaganza gives the icon for a chance at Mskull.

    Edited by Graz, 20 October 2011 - 02:04 AM.


    #16 ch33psh33p

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    Posted 20 October 2011 - 07:26 AM

    TNT confirmed ALL haunted woods cards can give Mskull. Its just less likely for lower cards.

    #17 Eliam

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    Posted 20 October 2011 - 07:28 AM

    This is interesting. I sort of always assumed that it was a waste, so I didn't buy Scratchcards after I got the avatar. Knowing that I can actually break even over time if I keep buying from the Kiosk, and possibly get a nice card from her... Thanks for the info!

    Edit: I totally put junk daily items in my shop for 1 NP. Sometimes it takes awhile for them to sell, I don't really notice, but why not get the NP, right? Mind...my shop is big enough that I don't need the space for anything else.
    Edit2: WTF is MSkull?

    Edited by Fuu, 20 October 2011 - 07:29 AM.


    #18 Hikimaru

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    Posted 20 October 2011 - 09:33 AM

    Cost per card: 600
    Won 10k: 0
    Won 5k: 1
    Won 2.5k: 1
    Spent: 3000 NP
    Profit:
    +4500NP


    I bought five cards lol

    #19 Asakura

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    Posted 20 October 2011 - 11:49 AM

    Race to Riches:
    Number bought: 10
    Cost per card: 607
    Won 10k: 0
    Won 5k: 0
    Won 2.5k: 0

    Net total: -6070

    Edited by Asakura, 22 October 2011 - 10:17 AM.


    #20 Scot

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    Posted 10 January 2012 - 02:07 PM

    *cricket chirp*

    #21 James

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    Posted 10 January 2012 - 02:39 PM

    HOHOHO

    #22 Applepi

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    Posted 10 January 2012 - 05:19 PM

    curious to see more results... anyone trying some of the other scratchcards

    #23 Autrie

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    Posted 10 January 2012 - 05:40 PM

    i'll try it..

    #24 MoriNoRyu

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    Posted 10 January 2012 - 05:57 PM

    Race to Riches Scratchcard
    Number Bought: 10
    Price: 500
    10k: 0
    5k: 0
    2.5k: 0
    Plushies: 0
    Snowballs: 0



    Net Profit: -5k
    Oh wellz at least i got them cheap.

    Edited by MoriNoRyu, 10 January 2012 - 05:58 PM.


    #25 Rainie

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    Posted 10 January 2012 - 06:00 PM

    Race to Riches Scratchcard
    Number bought: 5
    Cost per card: 600NPs
    Won 10k: 0
    Won 5k: 0
    Won 2.5k: 0
    Spent: 3000NPs
    Profit: -3000NPs

    Of course, I've never been good at these cX ~


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