You should have added an "undecided" option to your second question...
I voted Ron Paul... I think it'd be nice for the country to have a legitimate libertarian vs. a liberal for president. Conservatism is hypocritical on its face...
Though, I think I'd much rather see Perry win the nomination so we can get the fucker out of his gubernatorial position in my home state.
My ultimate prediction right now is split.
GOP is going to break down as follows. Romney gets a buy to the finalist table for his "moderate" stance. Bachmann and Perry will out-conservative each other for the other finalist spot. (Winner clearly being Perry as he has the "business, economic leadership, and "true conservative values"" that all the GOP are going nuts over right now.)
Ron Paul will sweep the libertarian party and capture ~10-18% of the nomination vote, probably not winning a single state.
Ultimately, I think the Romney vs. Perry debate will come down to campaign tactics. I think that Perry will out-right wing Romney, but if that is the case, I think Obama will definitely be re-elected. If Romney outwits Perry, then I think it will be a closer finish for the presidency.
As to who I will vote for? I'm still undecided. There is an entire year left to see how badly Obama crashes and burns/recovers the U.S. before I make my decision. (Elections held today... I'd still probably vote Obama.)